Stuff.
Given that multiple people are apparently misunderstanding your arguments in exactly the same way, that suggests to me that the failure is not in our ability to comprehend your arguments (if this were the case people who are wrongly interpreting your statements would be doing so in different ways), but rather that you're failing to communicate your argument as effectively as you think you are (which is why different people are misinterpreting it in the same way).
I always consider that. But there are three points against that. The first is I've looked at what I said, and it's seems pretty clear. That's not conclusive, because I could have missed something. But for me to reconsider that, you'd have to demonstrate where I miscommunicated, not just make a vague claim. Secondly, they didn't misunderstand my arguments in the same way. You made one argument, and they made other arguments. And most importantly is the third: People really don't understand probability well, and it can be challenging to break down their preconceptions. That's the reason why I posted what I posted. I expected some pushback.
Edit: There's also a fourth: It's the internet. People tend to skim, rather than read for content. For instance, your last post can be easily explained if you just read the last post or two in the thread, and didn't go back and read my original post. You could have gotten the idea that I'm arguing that +1 = 50% all the time, but that would have been a false impression, because you were missing context. Starting to listen to a conversation in the middle can give a very misleading impression.