(Ohio is estimating 100,000 in their state alone, which has relatively few confirmed cases).
The Ohio clowns already admitted they used moron math in a "guesstimate", and Kent State's Dept of Public Health put out a 1,000 estimate instead. However, Ohio certainly did their share to promote media panic. Or maybe the governor owns stock in toilet paper?
But it's America 2020 where the New York Times's best and brightest tell us Bloomberg's $500 million ad spending could have instead given $1 million to every American...all 350 million of us!!!
Math apparently isn't our national specialty.
These are guesses, not solid numbers. Those will never be available at the start of a pandemic. In fact, we might never know for sure. But we still have act in that realm of uncertainty.
Americans aren't acting with any rationale. They're panicking like blind mice.
Thanks entirely to a highly motivated media hype machine.
But with the higher CFR, we're potentially looking at millions of fatalities in the US alone, though with the lower rate, that might slip under 1 million.
Millions dead? Not gonna happen. At most, we'll see the H1N1 numbers nobody cared about in 2009.
Wuhan is at the end of their infection arc, and all of China will be ending their arc soon. Even with their draconian measures, all the realities of China (overpopulation, tight living quarters, large elderly population, bad air quality, poor hygiene) didn't change during the arc so China's numbers give us a good look at a "worst case" scenario.
It's said that the people who push for stronger action at the start of a pandemic are always dismissed as alarmists, but after the pandemic is passed the question is always why didn't we do more, and sooner.
Most people don't even remember the 2009 swine/avian flu. It had zero impact. As a nation, we didn't blink at 12,000 dead because that's just 240 per state. AKA, most Americans don't know anyone killed by H1N1, or even remember someone who got sick back then.
But now we're shitting ourselves into oblivion over 50 dead.